A retired colonel who has been advising the Ukrainian military says that if Ukraine’s counteroffensive is successful, it could have a number of significant consequences.
Retired Col. Cedric Leighton told CNN that a successful counteroffensive could force Russia to withdraw from some of its gains in eastern Ukraine, including the city of Severodonetsk. It could also lead to a change in Russian military strategy, as Russia would be forced to defend its own territory rather than continue its offensive.
Leighton also said that a successful counteroffensive could boost Ukrainian morale and give the country a stronger negotiating position in any future peace talks with Russia.
“If Ukraine can show that it can successfully retake territory, it will send a message to Russia that they can’t just take what they want,” Leighton said. “It will also give Ukraine a stronger negotiating position in any future peace talks.”
However, Leighton cautioned that a successful counteroffensive is not guaranteed. He said that Ukraine will need to continue to receive military aid from the West, and that it will need to be careful not to overextend itself.
“It’s going to be a tough fight,” Leighton said. “But if Ukraine can pull it off, it will be a major victory.”
Here are some of the other potential consequences of a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive:
- It could lead to a renewed diplomatic push to end the war.
- It could embolden other countries that are facing Russian aggression, such as Finland and Sweden.
- It could increase the risk of a wider conflict between Russia and NATO.
The exact consequences of a successful Ukrainian counteroffensive are difficult to predict, but it is clear that it would have a significant impact on the war in Ukraine and the wider security landscape in Europe.